{"id":88089,"date":"2014-01-14T09:47:18","date_gmt":"2014-01-14T14:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/?p=88089"},"modified":"2023-06-27T12:20:53","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T16:20:53","slug":"global-warming-the-conversation-we-need-to-have","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/2014\/01\/global-warming-the-conversation-we-need-to-have\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Warming: The Conversation We Need to Have"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"padding: 5px 15px 10px 0px; clear: both; float: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-80085 alignleft img-responsive lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"Sustainable UConn icon\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-32x32.jpg 32w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-64x64.jpg 64w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-96x96.jpg 96w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/sustainable-uconn-blog-icon-128x128.jpg 128w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 110px) 100vw, 110px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 110px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 110\/110;\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><em>Sustainable UConn: How our values about the environment, clean energy, and social responsibility are greening the Husky Blue.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A recent stretch of frigid weather across the U.S. and a 2013 increase in polar ice (despite the rapid downward trend of the past 30 years) have given climate skeptics new opportunities to clamor that climate change is a \u201choax.\u201d These skeptics have proven to be resilient in their ability to ignore and withstand the overwhelming scientific evidence, and persistent in their efforts to confuse the general public about the facts. Needless to say, this obfuscation alters the public dialogue and delays more widespread climate action, especially by state and federal political leaders, who can easily be swayed by public opinion.<\/p>\n<p>For a science-based counterpoint to this most recent misinformation, I asked Anji Seth, associate professor in UConn\u2019s Geography Department, climatologist, and member of the University\u2019s Environmental Policy Advisory Council, to weigh in. Anji is the recipient of a National Science Foundation CAREER Award to study Climate Change in the Northeast. Her research uses numerical climate models and observations to understand regional processes involved in climate variability. She is the author of this post about the conversation we need to have in order to focus the nation on climate impact, mitigation, and adaptation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Conversation We Need to Have on Global Warming<\/strong><br \/>\nby Anji Seth, Department of Geography<\/p>\n<p>We all know the earth\u2019s climate is changing. The effects are inescapable no matter where we live. Here in New England, some changes are subtle (more humidity, consistently warmer nights), dramatic (more intense rainfall events), confusing (bigger snowfall events), and dangerous (more powerful hurricanes). The science tells us these are expected in a warming world, and indeed, we see them.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_88069\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-88069\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-88069   img-responsive lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content-300x238.jpg\" alt=\"Change in heat content in the upper 2000 m of the world\u2019s oceans. (Source: NOAA)\" width=\"300\" height=\"238\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content-300x238.jpg 300w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content-529x420.jpg 529w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content-126x100.jpg 126w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/global-ocean-heat-content.jpg 630w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 300px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 300\/238;\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-88069\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Change in heat content in the upper 2000 m of the world\u2019s oceans. (Source: NOAA)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>We also know that we are in the driver\u2019s seat for these changes. Our burning of oil, coal, and natural gas \u2013 fuels that have been extracted from fossil reserves buried in Earth\u2019s crust \u2013 is changing the composition of the atmosphere. Greenhouse gases constitute a tiny fraction of the atmosphere, but their ability to trap heat has made the difference between Earth being a frozen ice-ball of a planet and the relatively balmy one we inhabit. Greenhouse gases do this by preventing heat from escaping to space, just as a blanket tucked around a child at night keeps her warm. We are adding to this greenhouse gas blanket, and earth is warming up.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_88071\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-88071\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-88071   img-responsive lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice-300x238.jpg\" alt=\"September Arctic sea ice extent data since 1980 from the National Snow and Ice Data Center. (Image by Dana Nuccitelli, Skeptical Science, http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/graphics.php?g=64)\" width=\"300\" height=\"238\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice-300x238.jpg 300w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice-529x420.jpg 529w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice-126x100.jpg 126w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/arctic-sea-ice.jpg 630w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 300px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 300\/238;\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-88071\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">September Arctic sea ice extent data since 1980 from the National Snow and Ice Data Center. (Image by Dana Nuccitelli, Skeptical Science, http:\/\/www.skepticalscience.com\/graphics.php?g=64)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The most comprehensive accounting of the evidence can be found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessments. The IPCC has begun to release the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\">5th Assessment Report<\/a> and the latest installment has increased the certainty to 95 percent probability that humans are driving the observed and projected changes. <i>The consensus of climate scientists from around the world is that the link between human actions and climate change is as strong as the link between smoking and cancer.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Still we hear in the media reports that global warming has stopped for the last 15 years; that \u00a0increases in polar ice this year run contrary to the theory; and that an extreme cold snap puts a nail in its coffin.<\/p>\n<p>Do these observations blow a hole into the theory of global warming? Not at all. Here\u2019s why:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>First, the scientific evidence that supports greenhouse warming is vast, and has been building for more than 170 years. The climate system is noisy, and earth\u2019s temperature will vary around the long-term trend. During any given 10-15 year period, the warming of the atmosphere may accelerate or decelerate but, in the longer term, temperatures are increasing and will continue to do so. You would not choose 15 data points when you had 170 to characterize a trend. A subset of years without a significant trend do not change the basic physics \u2013 that excess heat is held in the climate system by increasing greenhouse gas concentrations.<\/li>\n<li>Second, in the past decade or so, more of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gasses appears to be going into the deep oceans, which is why globally averaged warming has slowed. Note that over land, temperature increases have continued at a clip and global average temperatures remain at a record high, with the last 10 years qualifying as the warmest decade in the historical record.<\/li>\n<li>Third, Arctic sea ice continues to be substantially below the long-term average in both areal extent and thickness. This past year, the Arctic sea ice was 6th lowest and more than a million square kilometers below the average area from the period 1981 to 2000. <em>This past year\u2019s ice area is certainly higher than 2012\u2019s \u2013 but only because sea ice in 2012 was the lowest ever on record.<\/em> In this case again, a comparison between two years does not tell the whole story. Climate is the story told over many decades.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_88070\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-88070\" style=\"width: 240px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-88070   img-responsive lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"Temperature differences from average for Jan. 7, 2014, where red is warmer, blue colder than average. (Data\/image obtained using Climate Reanalyzer (http:\/\/cci-reanalyzer.org), Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono)\" width=\"240\" height=\"240\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-420x420.jpg 420w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-100x100.jpg 100w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-32x32.jpg 32w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-64x64.jpg 64w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-96x96.jpg 96w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe-128x128.jpg 128w, https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/globe.jpg 500w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 240px) 100vw, 240px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 240px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 240\/240;\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-88070\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Temperature differences from average for Jan. 7, 2014, where red is warmer, blue colder than average. (Data\/image obtained using Climate Reanalyzer (http:\/\/cci-reanalyzer.org), Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The cold spell earlier this month, while breaking records, must be seen in the larger space and time context of the climate. In recent weeks, while the central and eastern U.S. became the playground of the polar vortex and its extreme cold, the rest of the northern hemisphere, including the polar region, experienced warmer than normal temperatures. Daily weather statistics continue to show that the number of record warm temperatures is far exceeding the number of record cold temperatures.<\/p>\n<p>Let us not be distracted by those who misuse data in order to create doubt about global warming. Their purpose is to delay the important conversation. Let us instead turn the conversation to: What can be done to mitigate the worst-case scenarios and to prepare for the unavoidable ones? What is already being done? What do we collectively need to do?<\/p>\n<p>On these pressing questions there are many constructive arguments to be made. At UConn, we are having lively conversations that have resulted in action plans to (1) reduce CO2 emissions and (2) adapt infrastructure and systems across campus. Let\u2019s focus on actions, not distractions. Let\u2019s get to the right conversation.<\/p>\n<p><i>Participate in UConn\u2019s conversation and mark your calendar for CIMA3, the third annual Climate Impact Mitigation Adaptation showcase, scheduled for March 31. Watch for further details. <\/i><\/p>\n<p><em>For archived Sustainable UConn blog posts, click <a href=\"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/sustainable-uconn\/\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent frigid weather in the U.S. and a 2013 increase in polar ice do not change the basic physics of global warming, says climate scientist Anji Seth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":88029,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_crdt_document":"","wds_primary_category":0,"wds_primary_series":0,"wds_primary_attribution":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1805,2226,2387],"tags":[],"magazine-issues":[],"coauthors":[117],"class_list":["post-88089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change","category-clas","category-sustainability"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-04-12 15:59:14","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88089","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88089"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88089\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":105132,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88089\/revisions\/105132"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/media\/88029"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88089"},{"taxonomy":"magazine-issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/magazine-issues?post=88089"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/today.uconn.edu\/wp-rest\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=88089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}